TY - JOUR
T1 - Vaccinating behaviour guided by imitation and aspiration
T2 - Vaccinating behav. - Imit. And asp.
AU - Arefin, Md Rajib
AU - Masaki, Tanaka
AU - Tanimoto, Jun
N1 - Funding Information:
Data accessibility. All data have been generated from a series of numerical simulations. We have provided the source code (c++) for the numerical simulation in the electronic supplementary material. Authors’ contributions. M.R.A. developed the model, performed numerical simulations, analysed the results and drafted the manuscript. T.M. helped to design the model formulation, analysed the results and critically revised the manuscript. J.T. helped to design the study, coordinated the study and also helped draft the manuscript. All authors gave final approval for publication and agree to be held accountable for the work performed therein. Competing interests. We declare we have no competing interests. Acknowledgements. This study was partially supported by a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research from JSPS, Japan, KAKENHI (grant nos. JP 19KK0262 and JP 20H02314) awarded to J.T. The anonymous reviewers gave substantially meaningful comments that improved our manuscript. We would like to express our gratitude to them.
PY - 2020/7
Y1 - 2020/7
N2 - Vaccinating decisions can be influenced by imitation as well as self-evaluation or aspiration. This work analyses vaccinating behaviours by coupling both imitation and aspiration update rules, adopting an existing set-up of the mean-field vaccination game. We incorporate the imitation mechanism with several variants of the aspiration protocol, encompassing constant and adaptive aspirations. Equations of the combined dynamics have been derived by grouping the population according to (i) vaccinating strategies and (ii) healthy and infected status within each strategy. If aspiration levels are fixed but differentiated by vaccinating strategies, then vaccinators aspiring less than non-vaccinators are found to ameliorate the vaccination coverage, thereby yielding a less infectious state. The adaptive aspirations maintain a positive correlation with the vaccine efficacy while keeping the opposite relation with vaccination cost. When vaccinating strategies, aspirations and update rules are allowed to evolve synchronously, then either the imitation or aspiration process takes over the entire population. If aspiration rules prevail, then vaccinees and non-vaccinees coexist equally (according to (i)) or vaccine uptake follows a non-monotonic trend with the efficacy (according to (ii)). The imitative rule performs better when vaccination is less expensive or cheap, while aspiration updating safeguards the tenacity of vaccinees despite vaccination being expensive.
AB - Vaccinating decisions can be influenced by imitation as well as self-evaluation or aspiration. This work analyses vaccinating behaviours by coupling both imitation and aspiration update rules, adopting an existing set-up of the mean-field vaccination game. We incorporate the imitation mechanism with several variants of the aspiration protocol, encompassing constant and adaptive aspirations. Equations of the combined dynamics have been derived by grouping the population according to (i) vaccinating strategies and (ii) healthy and infected status within each strategy. If aspiration levels are fixed but differentiated by vaccinating strategies, then vaccinators aspiring less than non-vaccinators are found to ameliorate the vaccination coverage, thereby yielding a less infectious state. The adaptive aspirations maintain a positive correlation with the vaccine efficacy while keeping the opposite relation with vaccination cost. When vaccinating strategies, aspirations and update rules are allowed to evolve synchronously, then either the imitation or aspiration process takes over the entire population. If aspiration rules prevail, then vaccinees and non-vaccinees coexist equally (according to (i)) or vaccine uptake follows a non-monotonic trend with the efficacy (according to (ii)). The imitative rule performs better when vaccination is less expensive or cheap, while aspiration updating safeguards the tenacity of vaccinees despite vaccination being expensive.
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U2 - 10.1098/rspa.2020.0327rspa20200327
DO - 10.1098/rspa.2020.0327rspa20200327
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85094666666
SN - 1364-5021
VL - 476
JO - Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
JF - Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
IS - 2239
M1 - 0327
ER -