Travel demand model of a sequential short-time in an urban area

Yoshitaka Kajita, Satoshi Toi, Yuho Kubo, Hiroshi Tatsumi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


In this paper, the structure of a time-of-day travel demand forecasting model system is discussed. A short-time Origin-Destination [OD] model is constructed to estimate traffic volume in each time class during a day. A short-time traffic assignment is also proposed considering some trips do not always arrive at a destination within the same time class and link into the next phase. Also, sequential short-time modal split must consider traffic conditions of each time class. Therefore, joint modal split and assignment model is constructed. In these models, time distributions and trip-length are required. These models are analyzed considering differences in characteristics of trip purposes and personal attributes and estimated by model parameters from the Person Trip Survey data.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-28
Number of pages14
JournalMemoirs of the Faculty of Engineering, Kyushu University
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2005

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • General Energy
  • Atmospheric Science
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences
  • Management of Technology and Innovation


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