TY - JOUR
T1 - Bias correction in typhoon and storm surge projection considering characteristics of global climate model MRI-AGCM3.2S
AU - Hashimoto, Noriaki
AU - Kinashi, Yukihiro
AU - Kawashima, Tomoko
AU - Yokota, Masaki
AU - Yamashiro, Masaru
AU - Kodama, Mitsuyoshi
PY - 2015/1/1
Y1 - 2015/1/1
N2 - The typhoons that so often rage across Japan’s southwestern island, Kyushu, are expected to occur even oftener in the future due to global warming. Storm surge projections have been reported based on the super-high-resolution global climate model MRIAGCM3.2S developed by Japan’s Meteorological Research Institute (MRI). AGCM3.2S overestimates typhoon strength around Japanese islands, however, and this could lead to exaggerated storm surge projection. We therefore evaluate a bias correction method of typhoon strength considering the typhoon characteristics of AGCM3.2 in estimating maximum storm surge anomaly on the Ariake Sea coast. Our results indicated the possibility of storm surge anomaly of 2.8 m, exceeding the current design storm surge anomaly of 2.36 m at the innermost Ariake Sea.
AB - The typhoons that so often rage across Japan’s southwestern island, Kyushu, are expected to occur even oftener in the future due to global warming. Storm surge projections have been reported based on the super-high-resolution global climate model MRIAGCM3.2S developed by Japan’s Meteorological Research Institute (MRI). AGCM3.2S overestimates typhoon strength around Japanese islands, however, and this could lead to exaggerated storm surge projection. We therefore evaluate a bias correction method of typhoon strength considering the typhoon characteristics of AGCM3.2 in estimating maximum storm surge anomaly on the Ariake Sea coast. Our results indicated the possibility of storm surge anomaly of 2.8 m, exceeding the current design storm surge anomaly of 2.36 m at the innermost Ariake Sea.
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U2 - 10.20965/jdr.2015.p0448
DO - 10.20965/jdr.2015.p0448
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84930449337
SN - 1881-2473
VL - 10
SP - 448
EP - 456
JO - Journal of Disaster Research
JF - Journal of Disaster Research
IS - 3
ER -
