A reference equation for lung volume on computed tomography in Japanese middle-aged and elderly adults

Background: Effective use of lung volume data measured on computed tomography (CT) requires reference values for specific populations. This study examined whether an equation previously generated for multiple ethnic groups in the United States, including Asians predominantly composed of Chinese people, in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) could be used for Japanese people and, if necessary, to optimize this equation. Moreover, the equation was used to characterize patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lung hyperexpansion. Methods: This study included a lung cancer screening CT cohort of asymptomatic never smokers aged ≥40 years from two institutions (n = 364 and 419) to validate and optimize the MESA equation and a COPD cohort (n = 199) to test its applicability. Results: In all asymptomatic never smokers, the variance explained by the predicted values (R²) based on the original MESA equation was 0.60. The original equation was optimized to minimize the root mean squared error (RMSE) by adjusting the scaling factor but not the age, sex, height, or body mass index terms of the equation. The RMSE changed from 714 ml in the original equation to 637 ml in the optimized equation. In the COPD cohort, lung hyperexpansion, defined based on the 95th percentile of the ratio of measured lung volume to predicted lung volume in never smokers (122 %), was observed in 60 (30 %) patients and was associated with centrilobular emphysema and air trapping on inspiratory/expiratory CT. Conclusions: The MESA equation was optimized for Japanese middle-aged and elderly adults.